This is the question to ask while following news reports this week about Israel, Gaza, Syria and the rest of the Middle East. It is clear to us (the editors of this newsletter) that Israel’s national interest demands bringing ALL of the hostages home in a deal that ends the war in Gaza. The price will be high and Hamas will continue to be a threat - but it is almost a certainty that Hamas will quickly give Israel a reason to respond and finish the job.
A partial deal like the one being discussed is NOT in Israel’s interest, even if it is better than no deal. It appears that Prime Minister Netanyahu is the one who has been insisting on partial deals in order to continue the war indefinitely, or at least until he thinks he can be reelected. President Trump on the other hand, appears to want to bring the Gaza war to an end. Like Biden, he cares more about the hostages than Netanyahu does. In other words, Trump’s is more in tune with Israel’s national interest than Netanyahu is.
Furthermore, unlike former President Biden, Trump has a short fuse (or works on a very short timeline) and Netanyahu’s political base does not want to anger Trump. This all means that it is possible that Trump can pressure Netanyahu into accepting a deal that is in Israel’s national interest, but not in Netanyahu’s political interest.
The articles in this issue all deal with different aspects of the hostage deal being discussed, especially regarding the hostages and the framework for delivery of humanitarian aid that will enter Gaza. The What Else Happened This Week section contains a few interesting events worth reading about.